Dale Jr Still Has a Chance

Kyle Petty and the rest of the talking heads on Speed TV may think the Chase is down to just a few drivers but they are obviously wrong.

If you think after five races, of a ten race format, a single driver is out of contention it means only one thing. You slept through grade school mathematics. Sure you may believe certain drivers aren't likely to win the Cup. You may state it is improbable for some drivers to win the 2011 championship. But to report, as most of the math deprived minds of Speed as been reporting as if it's true, that only the first handful of drivers in the standings have a chance to win is simply the same as hanging a sign around their necks saying, "I am too stupid to comprehend basic arithmetic."

It's a simple math fact which dictates who of the Chase drivers has a chance for the Sprint Cup Championship and who does not. The fact is, contrary to anything Speed TV reports is; any points that have been obtained in the first five races by any driver can be obtained by any other driver in the last five races. In other words Dale Earnhardt, JR can do in the last five what Carl Edwards did in the first five and vice versa.

This makes the Chase wide open!

After today's race in Talladega, when the Chase is more than half over, will you start to see mathematical probability start to lean heavier and heavier towards the leader. But still I would guess and it's only a guess, it will be three weeks before we see one of the twelve Chasers completely without a chance.

Until then, it may be a long shot but in the immortal words of Lloyd Christmas when he told he had like one out of a million chance, " So you're telling me there's a chance... *YEAH!"







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